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12 de octubre de 2024
PRESUPUESTO 2025
Milei en el Congreso: más ajuste, dólar a $1207 y 18,3% de inflación El Presidente habló en cadena nacional –con muy poco rating televisivo– para anunciar sus previsiones para 2025. Adelantó que seguirá ajustando hacia abajo, a cambio de unas cifras que juzgó promisorias. lunes 16 de septiembre de 2024 07:02
El presidente Javier Milei detalló los lineamientos generales del Presupuesto 2025: El PIB se proyecta con una suba del 5,0% para 2025, se proyecta que el tipo de cambio llegue a $ 1.207 en diciembre de 2025 y que la inflación se desacelere a un 18,3% interanual en igual período. A su vez, estima que continúe un crecimiento sostenido del PIB en los años siguientes (+5,0% en 2026 y +5,5% en 2027). ¿Será?
Los principales puntos de su mensaje El Presupuesto del Sector Público Nacional para el ejercicio fiscal 2025 se proyecta levemente superavitario en términos del PBI. El resultado primario, en tanto, alcanzaría el 1,3% del PBI. Desde el 2014 no se presenta al Congreso de la Nación un Presupuesto equilibrado. Aún más, desde el 2010 no se alcanza un resultado fiscal anual superavitario, y desde el 2008 no se alcanzan dos años consecutivos de superávit financiero. Los recursos totales estimados alcanzan el 16,5% del PBI, mientras que los gastos totales ascienden a 16,5% del PBI. El equilibrio fiscal continúa siendo un compromiso inquebrantable de esta gestión. Así, el Sector Público Nacional acumuló en los primeros siete meses del año un superávit primario del 1,4% del PBI y un superávit financiero del 0,4% del PBI. Recuperación de las capacidades en seguridad y defensa: para que un país sea próspero, esta gestión considera que debe resguardar firmemente su soberanía territorial y prevenir en materia de narcotráfico y terrorismo internacional. Simplificación de Estado: A su llegada, esta gestión se encontró con un Estado desproporcionado, con roles duplicados y poca efectividad. Haciéndole frente a esta realidad, se definió la disminución de la cantidad de ministerios (de 18 a 8) y la cantidad de secretarías (de 106 a 52), lo que implicó la eliminación de más del 50% de los cargos políticos. Finalmente, aseguró que “durante 2025, se plantea garantizar nuevamente el equilibrio fiscal para corregir definitivamente los desajustes y sostener las condiciones de estabilidad. Esto implicará que por segundo año consecutivo el Sector Público Nacional no necesitará financiamiento por la vía de endeudamiento o emisión monetaria ya que no habrá desbalances de las cuentas públicas”.